Thursday, December 11, 2025

'Crude' chat with Meren Energy CEO Roger Tucker

Gaurav Sharma, Energy Analyst, Oilholics Synonymous with Roger Tucker, CEO of Meren Energy (right).
Quite recently, the Oilholic recently had the great pleasure of catching up with Roger Tucker, CEO of independent oil and gas company Meren Energy (TSX: MER, OTCMKTS: MRNFF). As the end of the current trading year approaches, the company - with Tucker at the helm - has had an exciting past twelve months to say the least. 

In March, Meren completed the consolidation of Prime Oil & Gas, acquiring Brazilian finance and investment house BTG Pactual’s remaining stake to gain 100% ownership of it. Subsequently, BTG Pactual took a 35% stake in the consolidated entity. The summer months then brought with them market chatter of a merger with Tullow Oil, a smaller London-listed and Africa-focused industry peer in terms of market valuation. But talks ultimately collapsed.

And in May, there was a corporate name change to Meren Energy from Africa Oil. In a conversation with this blogger for Forbes, back in October, Tucker described it all as an exercise in "strategic housekeeping," his firm's "wider evolution," and a carving of ambitious pathways that will eventually extend its portfolio beyond Africa. Have a read of that Forbes interview here if you wish.

Given that wider context, it was great conversing with Tucker's for the readers of this blog too. The Meren CEO said his company would continue with its mission of generating attractive investor returns and keeping its enhanced dividend policy intact. That policy has seen it deliver $100 million in base dividend this year. 

"Much this banks on our primary assets, namely three FPSOs - Akpo, Egina and Agbami - in Nigeria. And looking to the future, we remain active in Equatorial Guinea and what's potentially a pretty promising foray into Namibia's Orange Basin."

Tucker added that Meren remains focused on organic growth and its longstanding mantra of doing "the right deals at the right time" by keeping a hawkish eye on hydrocarbon plays of interest. 

Just after the Oilholic spoke to Tucker, in November the company a posted a Q3 2025 net income of $5.2 million and an EBITDAX of $119.8 million. Meren also reduced its reserve base lending debt by $180 million during the quarter, ending with a debt balance of $360 million. 

Cash flow from operations before working capital adjustments was reported at $243.1 million for the first nine months of 2025, and, of course, that dividend mentioned above too! 

One more interesting snippet, before the Oilholic takes your leave. Just last week, Meren announced a renewal of its share repurchase program after receiving approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange.  

The approval allows the company to buyback up to 21.6 million of its common shares over the next year across the TSX and Nasdaq Stockholm. This could potentially stack up to $35 million in repurchases. The buyback period may run for 12 months from December 8, depending on how the company wishes to proceed. Shares purchased will be cancelled.

Under its previous buyback program that ended earlier this month, Meren repurchased over 8.4 million shares at an average price of C$1.93 (£1.04, US$1.40). Overall, a decent set of numbers and moves from a company to watch out for. Well that's all for the moment folks. More musings to follow soon. Keep reading, keep it here, keep it 'crude'! 

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© Gaurav Sharma 2025. Photo: Roger Tucker, CEO of Meren Energy (right) with Energy Analyst Gaurav Sharma.

Sunday, November 30, 2025

A 'crude' view from the Sea of Marmara's shoreline

The Oilholic finds himself wrapping up a trip to Istanbul, Türkiye, for the Black Sea and East Med Refining & Trading Conference and Executive Retreat

Early starts over the past few days here have brought with them a most spectacular view of the city's Tahiri Atakoy Kulesi monument, the Baruthane Millet park, and, of course, tankers and bulk carriers in the Sea of Marmara.

Many of these are anchored waiting to cross the Bosphorus, a narrow natural strait and an internationally significant waterway straddled by the sprawling city of Istanbul. The Bosphorus connects the Sea of Marmara to the Black Sea and forms one of the continental boundaries between Asia and Europe. 

It is a key crude maritime artery for the oil and gas industry. The location makes for a fitting place to discuss the direction of travel of the currently rocky oil prices, more so at the end of the week in which OPEC+ decided to hold fire on production and Russian shadow fleet tankers were attacked in the Black Sea! Despite our fraught world and heightened levels of geopolitical tension, yours truly told the event there's little to be bullish about the oil price. 

Brent is struggling to hold the floor at $60 per barrel. The Oilholic believes that floor will likely be breached in Q1 and Q2 of next year. 

Forget $60, this blogger believes even $50 levels may well be challenged. That's because there is a lot of crude out in the market, and a supply surplus, especially of light sweet crude beckons. 

Regardless of what OPEC+ does (or doesn't) non-OPEC oil production growth alone can meet demand growth levels forecast for 2026. 

And those hedged US shale barrels are not going away anytime soon, to be read as at least Q4 2026. Additionally, near-term crude demand remains less than certain as has been variously documented. Oil remains as much a story of demand as it is of supply. 

Let's see where this goes. But to underscore the current market dynamic, none of the (physical) traders the Oilholic met in Istanbul reported any sort of difficulty in securing any sort of crude grade at competitive prices, per their respective solver models. 

Moving on from crude pricing dynamics, yours truly discussed the event's core subject of refining. More specifically, the ongoing painful demise of refining in Europe in general, and Northern Europe in particular, and its rise in the Eastern Med, Middle East and Asia. 

This trend has become entrenched in the global refining and petrochemical complex. But first the figures. 

Various data aggregators, market commentators and forecasters have examined the state of the world's refining complex, and what it is going to be like in 10 years time. 

Between them, the likes of Kpler, Wood Mackenzie, S&P Global Platts, and more, have looked at 500 global refineries that they think might be at risk of closure within 10 years. 

Some of the most obvious risk factors include demand shifts due to electric mobility, pressures on net cash margins, policy changes, input and carbon compliance costs and competition. Of these 500, a fifth, or around a 100, were projected to be at risk closure with more than half of those in Europe. Such projections make Europe the continent where the refining and petrochemicals sector is quite simply being decimated. 

But as that happens, the refining complex from Turkey eastward appears to be coping well without having to contend with the just the sort of high energy and net zero compliance costs we see in Europe. 

All of this is triggering significant, unmistakable shifts across the liquid bulk supply chain. To discuss this and more, yours truly was joined on a panel by Rosemary Griffin, OPEC+ Lead Reporter, S&P Global Platts, Sevil Arif, Senior Marketing Specialist at SOCAR Türkiye, Elif Binici Ersen, Energy Analyst at Kpler, and Sergey Ivanov, Executive Director at Marine Bunker Exchange.  

In an engaging discussion, the panellists touched on both crude prices in 2026 as well as the operating climate in the refining sector. 

There was consensus on the panel that world is likely looking at testing the $60 per barrel floor fairly early in 2026, with some strength returning to the market later in the year. 

On the refining side, we discussed the opportunities in the Eastern Mediterranean and further eastward, and challenges in Europe. 

Much of dialogue acknowledged that Northern Europe’s refining sector is now at a critical juncture, faced with declining margins and policy pressures to adapt to rapidly evolving continental compliance problems. And, quite frankly, it doesn't look too good, just as competition from Asia and the Middle East rises. 

Well, that's all from Istanbul folks. My thanks and congratulations to Confidence Information Services - the hosts of this wonderful event. More musings to follow soon. Keep reading, keep it here, keep it 'crude'! 

To follow The Oilholic on Twitter click here.
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To follow The Oilholic on Energy Connects click here.

© Gaurav Sharma 2025. Photos I & II: Tanker and bulk carriers in the Sea of Marmara © Gaurav Sharma, November 2025. Photos III & IV: Gaurav Sharma at speaks at the Black Sea and Eastern Mediterranean Refining & Trading Conference and Executive Retreat, Istanbul, Türkiye, on November 27, 2025 © Confidence Information Services, November 2025. 

Thursday, November 13, 2025

Speaking at Türkiye - Black Sea & East Med Refining & Trading conference

Delighted to announce that yours truly will be speaking at the upcoming Türkiye – Black Sea and East Med Refining & Trading conference and executive retreat. The event - being held November 27-28, 2025 in Istanbul - will touch upon regional market dynamics, pricing, and logistics.

More details on the event and its agenda are available here.

The Oilholic looks forward to the deliberations, meeting industry peers, regional corporate heads, decisionmakers and friends from the energy community. Join, if you can, for some fantastic industry exchanges and networking in Istanbul.

Keep reading, keep it here, keep it 'crude'!

To follow The Oilholic on Twitter click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Forbes click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Energy Connects click here.

© Gaurav Sharma 2025. Photo © Confidence Information Services Ltd, November 2025.

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Leadership Conversations with Emerson series

The Oilholic is delighted to introduce Emerson’s new Leadership Conversations series that yours truly has been privileged to host on the company's behalf. The series brings together leading voices from Emerson and its affiliate brands such as Aspen Technology, National Instruments and more, to the fore on digitization, electrification and automation of the world's energy, industrial and manufacturing complex.

As AIIIoTBigData and robotics reshape how we do things, this series explores the approaching horizon from the perspective of one of the world's leading technology, software and engineering powerhouses, and its global customers and partners. The initial batch of videos are available here.


In the very first episode, Chief Operating Officer Ram Krishnan discusses Emerson’s new software-defined, OT-ready enterprise operations platform. Watch the full interview here.

And do watch this space for more to come, as Team Emerson and yours truly bring further industry insights and leadership conversations your way. More musings to follow soon, but its goodbye for now. Keep reading, keep it here, keep it 'crude'!

To follow The Oilholic on Twitter click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Forbes click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Energy Connects click here.

© Gaurav Sharma 2025. Photo: Leadership Conversations with Emerson © Emerson, November 2025.

Media missives from ADIPEC 2025

ADIPEC 2025 drew to a close on November 6 and the Oilholic had an engaging week out in Abu Dhabi. Yours truly hosted four pivotal industry panel sessions at the event on subjects ranging from hydrogen to downstream decarbonisation.

This blogger also hit the airwaves to discuss the wider energy market, quarterly results of BP and Aramco, oil supply and demand scenarios for 2026, investment by the energy sector in automation and AI, and some of the soundbites coming out of this year's ADIPEC. 

These included broadcasting calls with the BBC, France 24, and more, with the Oilholic's week also peppered with plenty of missives via the keyboard for Forbes, and of course this blog.

This year, yours truly also partnered with Schneider Electric for a global research project on the adoption of automation in the energy sector, the first phase of which - on the Middle East - was released at the event. Further details are here

All blog entries for ADIPEC 2025 may be found here. And here are selected Forbes copies in chronological order based on soundbites and insights from just before, during, and immediately after the event: 

  • AI Is Reshaping How Industries Run, Compete, And Grow, October 26, 2025
  • Energy CEOs Warn More Investment Is Needed As Demand Continues To Rise, November 3, 2025
  • Big Oil Earnings Season Marks A Return To Basics With Lower Profits, November 10, 2025
  • Big Oil Is Pairing Up With Big Tech For An Opportunity Worth Billions, November 11, 2025

That's a wrap for this year's ADIPEC. Keep reading, keep it here, keep it 'crude'! 

To follow The Oilholic on Twitter click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Forbes click here.
To follow The Oilholic on Energy Connects click here.

© Gaurav Sharma 2025. Photo: Gaurav Sharma at ADIPEC 2025 studio in Abu Dhabi, UAE on November 4, 2025 © dmgevents / APCO Worldwide.